SIAM-DM 07
Data Mining for
Pandemic Preparedness
April 28, 2007


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Pandemic Dataset

Release 2 of the dataset has been prepared for the 2007 workshop, revising and extending the first release prepared for the SDM-06 Workshop. It tracks a set of 1.6 million synthetic individuals at 240,000 locations based on the city of Portland, Oregon. Each individual has a number of demographic attributes (age, income, work status, household structure) and daily activities for a normative day (including places visited and times). A collection of interoperable simulations--modeling urban infrastructure, people activities, route plans, traffic, and population dynamics--mimic the time-dependent interactions of every individual in a regional area. Disease dynamics are captured by a coupled probabilistic timed transition system whereby the state of health of a person can change depending on the health and duration of his or her contacts in the underlying social network. This form of `individual modeling' provides a bottom-up approach mirroring the contact structure of individuals and is naturally suited for formulating and studying the effect of intervention policies.

References

  • C. Bailey-Kellogg, N. Ramakrishnan, and M. Marathe. Spatial data mining to support pandemic preparedness. ACM SIGKDD Explorations, 8:80-82, 2006. article.
  • C. Barrett, J. Smith, and S. Eubank. Modern Epidemiological Modeling. Scientific American, Feb 2005. article.
  • C.L. Barrett, R.J. Beckman, K.P. Berkbigler, K.R. Bisset, B.W. Bush, S. Eubank, K.M. Henson, J.M. Hurford, D.A. Kubicek, M.V. Marathe, P.R. Romero, J.P. Smith, L.L. Smith, P.L. Speckman, P.E. Stretz, G.L. Thayer, E. Van Eeckhout, and M.D. Williams. TRANSIMS: Volumes I, II, III, and IV. Los Alamos Unclassified Reports 00-1724, 00-1725, 00-1766, and 00-1767, Aug 2004.
  • S. Eubank, V.S. Anil Kumar, M. Marathe, A. Srinivasan, and N. Wang. Structure of Social Contact Networks and their Impact on Epidemics. AMS-DIMACS Special Volume on Epidemiology, 2006.
  • S. Eubank, H. Guclu, V.S. Anil Kumar, M. Marathe, A. Srinivasan, Z. Toroczkai, and N. Wang. Modeling Disease Outbreaks in Realistic Urban Social Networks. Nature, 429:180-184, May 2004. article.
  • N.M. Ferguson, D.A. Cummings, S. Cauchemez, C. Fraser, S. Riley, A. Meeyai, S. Iamsirithaworn, and D.S. Burke. Strategies for Containing an Emerging Influenza Pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature, 437:209-214, Sep 2005. article.
  • US Department of Health and Human Services. HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan. http://www.hhs.gov/pandemicflu/plan/, Nov 2005.